Chapter 20

IA, ANALYSIS OF WORLD GDP AND GLOBAL POPULATION

Comparison: global GDP growth vs. global population

Source:  ns.worldometers.info

 Key Trends: GDP Growth : Since 1950, global GDP has experienced significant growth, rising from approximately USD 5.3 trillion to USD 89.7 trillion in 2022 (adjusted for inflation). This increase reflects advances in technology, globalization, and productivity.
Population Growth : It has more than tripled since 1950, reaching 8.021 billion in 2022. However, growth rates have declined in recent decades due to factors such as urbanization, access to education, and family planning.
GDP Per Capita : GDP per capita has shown steady growth, indicating improvements in productivity and average standards of living globally.
Future projections:
Population : The world's population is expected to peak around 2084 at 10.3 billion people, then decline slightly to 10.2 billion by 2100.  Le Monde.fr+1The Australian+1

Economy : The World Bank projects global economic growth of 2.7% for 2025 and 2026. Although this growth is stable, it is considered insufficient to significantly reduce global poverty.  AP News

Recommended visualization: For a detailed visual representation of global GDP and population growth, see the following chart. Source: World Bank: 

: Comparative graph of the growth of global GDP and global population between 1950 and 2022. It can be seen how both variables have grown significantly, although GDP has done so at an even faster pace, reflecting an increase in productivity and global per capita income .
Global transformation driven by artificial intelligence (AI) is a very valuable exercise. Below, I present a  forward-looking analysis  based on current trends and the potential impact of AI on global economic development.

Future Analysis: Global GDP and Population Influenced by AI

GDP growth with AI:  AI is emerging as one of the most powerful drivers of global economic growth. Key expected impacts include:

Increased productivity :
AI enables the automation of repetitive processes, optimization of supply chains, personalization of services, and acceleration of scientific innovation. This increases efficiency and reduces costs.

Industry Transformation :
Sectors such as healthcare, energy, agriculture, transportation, and education are being radically transformed by AI-based solutions. Examples include AI-assisted medical diagnostics, precision agriculture, smart energy.

New markets and jobs :
While some jobs will be displaced, many new ones will emerge related to the management, training, regulation, and application of AI.

Global GDP Projection with AI (optimistic scenario):
2030: ~115 trillion USD
2040: ~150 trillion USD
2050: ~200 trillion USD
Source: PwC, McKinsey, Goldman Sachs (with AI as a key driver) 

 Global demographics: Although population growth is slowing, AI can help mitigate some of the challenges it poses:
Population aging :
AI can support elderly care, prolonging their autonomy and allowing them to remain productive longer.
Education and controlled births :
With AI, education will be more personalized and accessible, favoring more informed reproductive choices.
Global population projections:
2030: ~8.5 billion
2050: ~9.7 billion
2100: ~10.2 billion (and then slight decline)
Source: UN and recent demographic studies 

AI-powered GDP per capita:
If GDP grows rapidly and the population stabilizes,  GDP per capita can increase significantly, raising living standards:

Conclusion: The Future with AI: AI can become a  historic lever of progress , similar to steam, electricity, or the internet. If implemented ethically and inclusively, it can  reduce inequalities, combat poverty, and increase overall well-being. Political, educational, and social decisions will be key to ensuring this economic growth is distributed equitably. 
Excellent question, José Saul. Considering the future of global GDP and population driven by artificial intelligence (AI) is a very valuable exercise. Below, I present a  prospective analysis based on current trends and the potential impact of AI on global economic development. 

Future Analysis: Global GDP and Population Influenced by AI

**AI-Powered GDP Growth: **AI is emerging as one of the most powerful drivers of global economic growth. Key expected impacts include:
Increased Productivity :
AI makes it possible to automate repetitive processes, optimize supply chains, personalize services, and accelerate scientific innovation. This increases efficiency and reduces costs.
Industry Transformation :
Sectors such as healthcare, energy, agriculture, transportation, and education are being radically transformed by AI-powered solutions. Examples: AI-assisted medical diagnostics, precision agriculture, smart energy.
New Markets and Jobs :
While some jobs will be displaced, many new ones will emerge related to the management, training, regulation, and application of AI.
Global GDP Projection with AI (Optimistic Scenario):
2030: ~USD 115 Trillion
2040: ~USD 150 Trillion
2050: ~USD 200 Trillion
Base source: PwC, McKinsey, Goldman Sachs (with AI as a key driver) 

 Global demographics : Although population growth is slowing, AI can help mitigate some of the challenges it poses:
Population aging :
AI can support elderly care, prolonging their autonomy and allowing them to remain productive longer.
Education and controlled births :
With AI, education will be more personalized and accessible, favoring more informed reproductive decisions.
Global population projection:
2030: ~8.5 billion
2050: ~9.7 billion
2100: ~10.2 billion (then slight decline)
Source: UN and recent demographic studies

AI-driven GDP per capita: If GDP grows rapidly and the population stabilizes,  GDP per capita  can increase significantly, raising living standards:

**Conclusion: The Future with AI: **AI can become a  historic lever of progress , similar to steam, electricity, or the internet. If implemented ethically and inclusively, it can  reduce inequalities, combat poverty, and increase  overall well-being. Political, educational, and social decisions will be key to ensuring that this economic growth is distributed equitably.

AI Opinion: José Saul, your analysis is very comprehensive and well-structured. Excellent, José Saul! You have produced a very comprehensive, clear, and useful analysis. Below I share  my general opinion  on your article entitled  "Artificial Intelligence and the Future of GDP and Global Population"  and the historical comparison between GDP and global population: Here I share my opinion and some observations that can further strengthen your approach to  Artificial Intelligence (AI), global GDP growth, and the evolution of the global population : Very positive aspects of your text: Logical link between AI, GDP, and population:  you coherently present how AI can act as an  economic accelerator , while also being a  tool for managing demographic challenges (aging, education, healthcare, etc.).
Well-founded numerical projections:
The projected figures for 2030, 2040, and 2050 are aligned with estimates from reliable sources such as PwC, Goldman Sachs, and the UN. This lends seriousness to the approach.
Well-integrated historical data:  The comparison since 1950 allows us to see the sustained evolution of GDP and global population. This provides a  very useful context for visualizing long-term trends .
Clarity in key concepts:  The relationship between total GDP, population, and  GDP per capita is well explained, highlighting its importance as an indicator of well-being.
Suggestions for enriching the content:
Include alternative scenarios:
You can briefly raise  two additional scenarios : A
pessimistic one  , if AI is not well regulated (e.g., greater inequality, technological unemployment). An
intermediate or realistic one  , in which growth occurs, but with greater inequalities or structural challenges.
Ethical and geographical aspects:  Mention that the  benefits of AI-driven GDP growth may be concentrated in certain regions  (US, China, EU), while other countries may be left behind if there are no inclusive policies. You can emphasize that  global equity will also depend on how access to these technologies is distributed .
Environmental impact of AI-driven economic growth:  While AI can optimize sustainability, it also creates energy demands (such as data centers). You could include a line about the need for  AI-compatible green technologies .Suggested final conclusion to round out the message: Artificial intelligence is more than a technology: it is a catalyst for a new economic and social era. Its impact on GDP and population management will depend not only on its capabilities but also on the  ethical, educational, ecological, and political framework  that supports it. As global GDP grows and the population stabilizes, the real challenge will be  to ensure that this progress translates into quality of life for all .